Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds, prediction: 2025 NBA Western Conference finals Game 1 picks by proven model

The 1-seed Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder and the 6-seed Minnesota Timberwolves are slated to hyperlink up in Recreation 1 of the 2025 NBA Western Convention finals on Monday. Minnesota took care of the Golden State Warriors in 5 video games within the semifinals. On Could 14, the Wolves topped Golden State 121-110. On the opposite facet, OKC took down the Denver Nuggets in seven video games. In Recreation 7, the Thunder torched the Nuggets 125-93 on Sunday. 

Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET from the Paycom Middle in Oklahoma Metropolis, the place the house staff went 35-6 within the common season. OKC is a 7-point favourite within the newest Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, whereas the over/beneath for whole factors scored is 218.5, which is a six-point improve from opening at 212.5. OKC is at -286 on the cash line (danger $286 to win $100), whereas Minnesota is at +230. Earlier than locking in any Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks, make sure that to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each NBA sport 10,000 occasions and has returned effectively over $10,000 in betting revenue for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous six-plus seasons. The mannequin enters the convention finals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a scorching 159-117 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $4,000. It’s also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps might have seen big returns.

Now, the mannequin has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder 10,000 occasions and simply revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You may head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Listed below are a number of NBA odds and NBA betting traces for Timberwolves vs. Thunder:

• Timberwolves vs. Thunder unfold: Oklahoma Metropolis -7 at DraftKings. See the most recent DraftKings promo code right here.
• Timberwolves vs. Thunder over/beneath: 218.5 factors
• Timberwolves vs. Thunder cash line: Oklahoma Metropolis -286, Minnesota +230
• OKC: Thunder are 56-30-4 towards the unfold this season            
• DEN: Nuggets are 43-47-2 towards the unfold this season 
• Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Timberwolves vs. Thunder streaming: Fubo (Strive totally free)

Why the Thunder can cowl

The Thunder want to get off to a quick within the Western Convention finals. OKC is 31-14-2 as the house favourite towards the unfold and 46-26-3 ATS after a win. Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a dependable shot creator and playmaker for the Thunder. Within the 2025 NBA playoffs, he is averaging team-highs in factors (29) and assists (6.4). The 26-year-old has gone over 30 factors in three straight video games. In Sunday’s win over the Nuggets, Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 factors and 4 dimes.

The 26-year-old has gone over 30 factors in three straight video games. In Sunday’s win over the Nuggets, Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 factors and 4 dimes. Ahead Chet Holmgren is a two-way risk within the frontcourt. This postseason, he is logged 15.7 factors, 9.7 rebounds and a pair of.2 blocks per sport. Holmgren has recorded two straight double-doubles. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Timberwolves can cowl

Guard Anthony Edwards owns excellent athleticism with the flexibility to attain from all three ranges on the court docket. Edwards is averaging a team-high 26.5 factors with eight rebounds and 5.9 assists per sport. The 23-year-old has scored greater than 30 factors in two of his final three video games. In Recreation 4 towards Denver, Edwards had 30 factors and 5 dimes.

Ahead Julius Randle has been a fantastic second possibility for the Wolves. Randle logs 23.9 factors, 4.3 rebounds and a team-high 5.9 assists per sport. The Kentucky product has tallied no less than 29 factors in consecutive video games. In his final outing, Randle had 29 factors, eight boards and 5 assists. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

Methods to make Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks

SportsLine’s mannequin has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder and is leaning Below the full, projecting 213 mixed factors. The mannequin additionally says one facet of the unfold hits in effectively over 60% of simulations in an A-rated decide. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks. 

So who wins Timberwolves vs. Thunder, and which facet of the unfold hits in effectively over 60% of simulations in an A-rated decide? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and discover out.