Inside Jannik Sinner’s return: The stat that should scare the rest of the Tour | ATP Tour

Past The Numbers

Inside Sinner’s return: The stat that ought to scare the remainder of the Tour

Infosys ATP Past The Numbers analyses Sinner’s efficiency in Rome

Might 25, 2025

Jannik Sinner went greater than three months with out match motion earlier than returning on the Internazionali BNL d’Italia. The outcomes have been constructive: the 23-year-old made the ultimate on the Foro Italico for the primary time. However what did we study Sinner’s efficiency past wins and losses?

An Infosys ATP Past The Numbers evaluation exhibits that his return efficiency in Rome will elevate the alarm for opponents.

Sinner received greater than 39 per cent of his return video games throughout his six matches within the Italian capital, which is nicely above his profession common (27.6%), his common on clay (32.6%) and the 2024 season on clay (33%). Extra impressively, in his first 5 matches of the event, the four-time ATP Masters 1000 champion received 48 per cent of his return video games.

Sinner On Return

However it’s essential to carry out your finest beneath the brightest highlight, which for Sinner was within the remaining in opposition to Carlos Alcaraz. With the trophy on the road, he didn’t break the Spaniard’s serve as soon as in 10 return video games.

However, for his first event after a interval away from competitors, it was a constructive signal for the No. 1 participant within the PIF ATP Rankings. To place the trouble into context, just one participant has received near the identical price of return video games on clay this season and that’s Alcaraz, with the very same 39.3 successful share.

In only one event, Sinner carried out nicely sufficient to steer the ATP Tour’s 2025 clay leaderboard in first-serve return factors received (40.8%) and second-serve return factors received (57.8%).

His second-serve return efficiency doesn’t essentially stand out in comparison with his typical output. Sinner, who has received 54 per cent of second-serve return factors in his profession, is thought for his highly effective baseline strokes. The same old second serve — a kick serve that sits up or a slower supply to keep away from a double fault — is sort of a seaside ball for the Italian, who’s all the time able to pounce and take management.

What was spectacular was his first-serve returning. After time away, it could have been comprehensible if it took time for him to get used to not solely placing first deliveries again in play, however doing so nicely sufficient to finally win the purpose.

Sinner’s Return Efficiency In Rome

The Rome finalist has received 35 per cent of first-serve return factors on clay throughout his profession. Meaning his first-serve returning success improved by greater than 15 per cent within the Italian capital.

In 5 of his six matches, Sinner received greater than 40 per cent of his first-serve return factors. Getting into the ultimate, his win price was 44 per cent. No participant on file has damaged the 40-per cent mark for his profession on clay.

That doesn’t imply there may be not loads of room for enchancment, although.

“For sure there are some things like we saw today [that] we have to improve if we want to do good in Paris,” Sinner stated. “I am closer than expected in a way [for] everything. But in the other way, it was good. It was a great week for me. Some matches [went] incredibly well, some matches could be better. But this is tennis. It’s a lot of ups and downs.”